The hope is that the seriousness of the leaders’
effort to finally solve the interrelated problems of Greek debt, weakened banks
and a bailout fund in need of reinforcement will keep speculators at bay when
the financial markets open on Monday morning. But now there is heavy pressure
on the leaders to deliver the goods at their next meeting, set for Wednesday.
“Further work is still needed, and that is why we
will take the decisions in the follow-up euro zone summit,” said Herman Van
Rompuy, the president of the European Council.
Pervading the summit meeting on Sunday was a
consensus that Europe had to attack
fundamental issues and stop merely putting out the brushfire of the moment. “We
all have a sense that the crisis in the euro zone is reaching very worrisome
levels,” said Donald Tusk, the prime minister of Poland ,
which now holds the rotating presidency of the union. “We have to be happy that
the decision-making progress has gained some momentum, although we can’t say we
have reached the finish line today.”
Two factors especially drove the urgency of the
meeting, which had already been postponed once: the worsening situation in Greece ,
where strikes and protests erupted last week, and the rising cost for Spain and Italy to
borrow money, a sign of mounting speculative pressure. Washington also
put considerable pressure on European leaders to make decisions before the Group of 20 summit meeting in early November,
because the long euro crisis is straining the global economy.
Even so, participants at the summit meeting,
originally intended to be definitive, had to put off some final decisions until
Wednesday because of political and financial complexities.
The meeting on Sunday, which included a separate
session of the 17 nations that share the
euro currency, was tense and
sometimes acrimonious. French and German leaders told Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi of Italy in
blunt terms that he must move faster to reduce his country’s huge debt of
nearly two trillion euros ($2.8 trillion), or about 120 percent of gross
domestic product, which makes his country a target of speculators.
Chancellor Angela
Merkel of Germany urged
Mr. Berlusconi to make “credible cuts” in an effort to reduce pressure on the
euro. President Nicolas Sarkozy of France ,
asked if he had confidence in Mr. Berlusconi, said that he had confidence in
the collectivity of Italian authorities, “political, financial, economic.”
Mr. Sarkozy, who said that today’s leaders could
not be blamed for the mistakes of the past, told Prime Minister David Cameron
of Britain ,
which does not use the euro, to stop criticizing the work of the euro zone
leaders. Mr. Sarkozy told him, in essence, that if he wanted a say, Britain
should join the currency union, officials said. “You say you hate the euro, and
now you want to interfere in our meetings,” Mr. Sarkozy said, according to the
officials.
Despite the friction, concrete progress was made.
The leaders reached overall agreement on recapitalizing Europe ’s
shaky banks, which they decided required an extra 100 billion euros. They
agreed that banks should first raise what capital they can privately, and then
turn to their own governments if necessary. If those governments already have
debt problems, then the bailout fund, called the European Financial Stability
Facility, could be drawn upon, but only “as a last resort,” Mrs. Merkel said.
One big issue remaining to be decided is how to
make the stability fund, now set at 440 billion euros ($606 billion), large
enough to cover Spain and
especially Italy as
well as Greece and
the smaller troubled countries of the zone. Germany has
been firm in rejecting a French idea to turn the bailout fund into a
special-purpose bank backed by the European
Central Bank, arguing that doing so would violate European treaties, so another
approach is needed.
Both France and Germany are
reluctant to put more of their own money into the stability fund, so the
leaders are discussing how the International Monetary Fund could help expand
the pot. There is also a serious conversation about creating a separate fund
linked to the stability fund that would be open to investors and
sovereign-wealth funds from outside Europe , like
the Chinese, Indians and Brazilians, as well as non-euro countries like Sweden and Norway . The
goal is to amass resources of 750 billion to 1.25 trillion euros in all, a
European official said.
The leaders are also discussing ways to use the
stability fund as insurance against partial losses that might be suffered by
holders of sovereign bonds, another way to get greater impact from the fund’s
resources.
Before the Wednesday summit meeting, the European
Union must also strike a deal with bankers who hold Greek government bonds that
Greece
cannot repay in full. The banks agreed in July to take a 21 percent loss on the
bonds, but after a worse-than-expected report on the state of Greece ’s
finances, they are now being asked to take a “haircut” of as much as 60 percent
of the bonds’ value. A deal with the private bondholders is essential to making
the rest of the package of measures add up, and there was talk on Sunday that
Mr. Sarkozy and Mrs. Merkel would personally take over negotiations with the
bankers if necessary.
There was also some discussion of limited changes
to the European Union treaty.
Mr. Van Rompuy, president of the European
Council, raised the prospect of “deepening economic union, including exploring
the possibility of limited treaty changes,” but underlined that such measures
would need approval from each of the 27 member countries. “If we need treaty
changes in a limited way, it is not a taboo, but it’s not the aim,” he said.
“The aim is deepening our economic union and strengthening fiscal discipline.”
“It is normal that those who share a common
currency must take some common decisions relating to that currency,” he added.
“In fact, one of the origins of the current crisis is that almost everybody has
underestimated the extent to which the economies of the euro zone are linked,
and we are now remediating that,” Mr. Van Rompuy said.
As usual, Mrs. Merkel emphasized that there was
no “magic wand” to solve the problems of the euro in one meeting or proposal.
Individual steps mattered, but so does responsible government by all nations
that use the euro, she said. “Trust will not be achieved alone through a high
firewall,” Mrs. Merkel said. “Trust will not happen from a new package for Greece .
Trust will only happen when everyone does their homework.”
European leaders were struggling today with the
results of decisions made decades ago by other people, she said. “That’s why
there will be many steps to be taken,” she said, and they must fit together.
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