President Obama and Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner have been described as “kindred spirits” by a White House adviser.
WASHINGTON — As friends, donors, cabinet members and
celebrities like Tom Hanks, Jay-Z and Stevie Wonder partied at the White House
one evening last August to celebrate President Obama’s 50th birthday, the
president tapped a lesser-known guest on the shoulder.
Europe ’s troubles, perhaps
more than anything, highlight what Mr. Obama likes about Mr. Geithner, because
they help show how the effects of the financial crisis could have been worse in
this country.
Europe ’s worsening crisis,
and the potential for contagion, loomed large in Mr. Obama’s arguments that Mr.
Geithner remain at the Treasury Department. Also, with further budget battles
with Republicans ahead, Mr. Geithner’s departure could signal additional
instability to financial markets — especially given the likelihood that Senate
Republicans would try to block confirmation of a successor — and distract the
White House just as Mr. Obama’s re-election campaign is under way, officials
said.
“Take a walk with me,” he said to Carole
Sonnenfeld Geithner, within earshot of others.
Their stroll on the South Lawn was Mr. Obama’s
last step in a lengthy effort to keep her husband, Timothy F.Geithner , as secretary of
the Treasury for the rest of the president’s term. Having worn down Mr.
Geithner, Mr. Obama wanted to explain why it was important that her husband
delay his return to New York .
That Mr. Obama went to such lengths to keep
Mr. Geithner, after not having done the same with others on his economic team
who had left at midterm, underscored how much he had come to rely on Mr. Geithner.
The question for outsiders as varied as Tea Party Republicans and liberal
Democrats is why Mr. Obama would be so insistent that Mr. Geithner stay. As
Treasury secretary, he was the highest-ranking member of a team that
underestimated the depth of the downturn, and he has managed both to anger Wall
Street firms and to be a target of criticism at Occupy Wall Street rallies.
For Mr. Obama, however, Mr. Geithner has
emerged as the indispensable economic adviser who has outlasted every other
member of the original inner circle and whose successes easily outweigh his
missteps. The two are not friends exactly — Mr. Geithner rolls his eyes at the
idea of playing golf, the president’s preferred form of relaxation — but they
are what David Axelrod, Mr. Obama’s political adviser, calls “kindred spirits.”
After a rocky first few weeks in the job, Mr.
Geithner managed to stabilize the country’s troubled banks by forcing them to
own up to their problems and seek additional funds from both the government and
the private sector. The Treasury has even earned a profit for taxpayers on the
still-reviled bank bailout program.
European leaders — defying repeated advice
from Mr. Geithner, by phone and in five trips so far this year — have taken a
much less aggressive approach, applying one Band-Aid after another to address
their mounting debts and ailing banks, only to discover they must do more.
“They’re moving ahead, but we just need them
to move ahead more quickly and with more force behind it,” Mr. Geithner said of
European leaders on Thursday, after meeting with Pacific region finance
ministers in Honolulu .
Many outside analysts believe that if Europe had followed the
Treasury’s lead sooner and forced banks to hold more capital, its financial
institutions would not be so vulnerable.
The administration misjudged the length of the
downturn, as did many private economists. Although Mr. Geithner wanted Congress
to pass more short-term help for the economy than it did, he was not among
those in the administration who were pushing hardest for additional short-term
measures to lift hiring.
As a consequence, Mr. Obama’s economic team
failed to help him prepare Americans for the pain ahead. It has proved a
defining mistake of the Obama administration.
Although Congress limited the administration’s
options, many economists fault Mr. Obama and Mr. Geithner for being too timid
in intervening, especially to help homeowners. In White House meetings, Mr.
Obama has repeatedly voiced frustrations — sometimes brandishing letters from
distressed homeowners — that the administration’s initiatives have not helped
nearly as many homeowners as advertised.
“I just don’t think they tried hard enough,
and I’ve told the administration that,” said Alan S. Blinder, an economist at Princeton and former vice
chairman of the Federal Reserve. “They haven’t done the really difficult things
— like using a lot more public money. Yes, there are legal complexities,
political difficulties and all that. But stemming this epidemic of foreclosures
was — and still is — vitally important.”
Officials
say that Mr. Obama does not blame Mr. Geithner either for the persistent
housing problems or for the administration’s miscalculations of the slump. Many
underestimated the crisis, they note, and Congressional Republicans’ opposition
has limited the administration’s options. Mr. Obama saw Mr. Geithner,
especially in the first year, as responsible mainly for the financial system,
rather than as captain of the economic team, as other previous Treasury
secretaries have been.
Aides say that nearly as important to the
president as Mr. Geithner’s expertise in battling financial crises has been his
style in doing so. He was cool in a crisis, and while he was just as confident
as the other members of the administration’s first team of economic advisers,
with its big egos, he was the self-effacing one who could break the tension
with a little sarcasm, a lot of profanity and his high-pitched giggle.
Born two weeks apart in August 1961, the
president and Mr. Geithner each spent childhood years in Asia because each had a
parent working for the Ford Foundation on overseas development. Both like to
describe themselves as pragmatists, and both are more private than social. Mr.
Geithner’s rule at Treasury — “no peacocks, no jerks, no whiners” — is a
variation of Mr. Obama’s “no drama” dictum.
One difference between them is their
motivation for being in government. Mr. Geithner, who was a registered
Republican as a young man, has focused on financial problem-solving since his
early career at Treasury through the 1990s, including the Asian and Mexican
crises back then. For Mr. Obama, the presidency is a chance to change
“the trajectory of America ,” as he said during
the 2008 campaign.
The contrast between the ambitious activist
and his adviser, the problem solver, was evident shortly after the election. In
a conference call with advisers, Mr. Obama spoke of the transformative domestic
policies he had promised and now would pursue. Mr. Geithner, say people
familiar with the exchange, cautioned that the crisis Mr. Obama had inherited
was so severe that it would constrain him.
“Your legacy is going to be preventing the
second Great Depression,” Mr. Geithner said.
Vexed, Mr. Obama replied, “That’s not enough
for me.”
Mr. Geithner, in an interview, declined to
talk much about his relationship or discussions with Mr. Obama. Yet he
suggested that he sees his value as his willingness to say what Mr. Obama may
not want to hear, given that presidents often do not get unvarnished advice.
“I think you worry a lot: Do people tell you
what they really think? You really want that most,” Mr. Geithner said. “I don’t
think with me he ever doubted.”
In the summer of 2010, for example, Mr.
Geithner tried to get the White House to fight to make sure the Bush-era tax cuts for the wealthy expired at the end of
that year as scheduled — not only to reduce deficits but to be more fair.
“The most affluent 400 earners in 2007, who
earned an average of more than $340 million each that year, paid only 17
percent of their income in taxes — a lower rate than many who consider
themselves middle-class Americans,” Mr. Geithner said in a speech at the time, as he tried to lead the
charge against Republicans’ push to extend the rates.
Yet Mr. Obama did not take up the cause,
dissuaded by Democrats in Congress who were worried about how a tax fight might
affect the midterm elections.
Mr. Geithner has long since come to understand
that he will remain unpopular among both some supporters and opponents of Mr.
Obama.
“To the extent people aren’t happy, you’d
rather have the secretary of Treasury be the spear-catcher instead of the
president himself,” said Geoffrey Garin, a Democratic pollster. “And if
Geithner were a liability, they’d have let him go when he wanted to go.”

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