Are you ready for some
football?
You are paying for it regardless.
Although “sports” never shows up as a line
item on a cable or satellite bill, American television subscribers pay, on
average, about $100 a year for sports programming — no matter how many games
they watch. A sizable portion goes to the National
Football League, which dominates sports on television and which struck an
extraordinary deal this week with the major networks — $27 billion over nine
years — that most likely means the average cable bill will rise again soon.
Those spiraling costs are fraying the formerly
tight bonds between the creators and distributors of television. Cable channels
like ESPN that carry games are charging cable
and satellite operators more money, and broadcast networks are now doing the
same, demanding cash for their broadcast signals and using sports as leverage.
And higher fees are raising concerns across
the industry that cable bills may be reaching the breaking point for some consumers
who are short of money.
The N.F.L. contracts announced this week “will
surely enrich N.F.L. owners and players just as much as it will impoverish all
pay TV subscribers, particularly those who will never watch an N.F.L. game,”
said Matthew M. Polka, the president of the American Cable Association, which
represents small cable operators. His group wants government officials to step
in and make it harder for channel owners to demand higher fees for carriage and
drop the channels when operators disagree.
Publicly expressing the private sentiments of
others, Greg Maffei, the chief executive of Liberty Media, recently called the
monthly cost of the media empire ESPN a “tax on every American household.”
Patrick Flynn personifies the consumer
challenge. He and his wife, who pay Comcast $170 a month for television,
Internet and a home phone in Beaverton , Ore. , are keenly aware
that part of their bill benefits the sports leagues that charge networks
ever-increasing amounts for the TV rights to games. Save for one regional
sports channel, he said, none of them are worth it.
“For the two or three games a year that our
Washington Huskies are on ESPN, we can arrange for someone else to host the
party,” he said.
But there are also millions of viewers like
Russell Tibbits, of Dallas, who says, “If you eliminate sports channels from
cable packages, I literally would not own a TV.”
Television and league executives argue that
the vast majority of viewers not only want sports, but are, like Mr. Tibbits,
willing to pay to watch a favorite team. On Sunday night, about 25 million
people watched the New York Giants play the Dallas Cowboys on NBC — by far the
highest-rated show on television for the night, more than tripling NBC’s
average audience. ESPN, which broadcasts “Monday Night Football” and floods its
week with football programming, is typically found by surveys to be the most
valuable cable channel among subscribers.
But ESPN is also far costlier than any other
channel, earning about $4.69 a month for each cable and satellite household in
the United States , according to the
research firm SNL Kagan. Next year the firm expects ESPN to cross the $5 a
month threshold for the first time (the next highest is TNT, at $1.16 this
year). On Thursday, ESPN announced its latest rights deal, one that extends
through 2024 with the N.C.A.A.
“Sports is hugely popular in America ,” said Edwin M.
Durso, an executive vice president for ESPN, “and I think the prices that we
and others pay for programming clearly reflect that.” Mr. Durso noted,
accurately, that ESPN does not set retail prices for its content. But together
with siblings like ESPN2 and ESPN Classic, the ESPN networks take in about
$6.50 per subscriber each month, according to SNL Kagan. Other sports channels
like Fox Sports Net, N.F.L. Network and Versus, soon to be renamed the NBC
Sports Network, account for at least an additional $1.50 or so.
In the last few years broadcasters like CBS
and NBC have started to posture for monthly fees from cable and satellite
providers, and indirectly, those fees pay for sports programming, too.
Eventually, subscribers feel the pinch; “if
you look at the whole media food chain, the last guy on it is the consumer,”
said David Bank, an equity research analyst at RBC Capital Markets.
To date the cable industry’s slight
concessions toward the rising costs of sports have not amounted to much. Time
Warner Cable offers a cheaper, smaller bundle of channels that lacks ESPN, but
few have signed up. Both Time Warner and Cablevision have refused to carry the
N.F.L.’s own network, citing the high cost — 81 cents a month, according to SNL
Kagan — but they have been harshly criticized by sports fans for it.
Soon, though, there may be an Internet
alternative — something that was heresy until recently. Distributors like Dish
Network are talking to channel owners about creating virtual cable providers
that would stream channels over the Internet instead of traditional cables.
That would break up the bundle of channels that subscribers have grudgingly accepted
for years and allow subscribers who don’t like sports to avoid paying for them.
“They’re aggressively looking for ways to
offer a lower-cost package of channels without sports,” said the chief
executive of one such channel owner, who insisted on anonymity because the
talks were confidential. “There may be a market in America , whether it’s 10 or
20 million people, that would be very happy to have 50 or 60 channels but not
ESPN.”
By streaming the channels online, old
distributors like Dish or new ones like Google could do an end run around the
contractual commitments and market dynamics that effectively force them to
carry sports channels now. ESPN declined to comment directly on the
possibility, but Mr. Durso said Thursday, “We’re happy to sell service to as
many distributors as we can.”
Even if such online providers materialize, the
leagues and the entrenched TV networks are now locked into lucrative contracts
for the long term. Wednesday’s N.F.L. agreement doesn’t expire until the end of
the 2022 season, which Brian Rolapp, N.F.L. Media’s chief operating officer,
said was a “recognition that the world will change and we don’t know what it
will look like.” But the networks are betting that, no matter what television
becomes, it will include a lot of football.
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